Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Is now the best time to list a home for sale in San Diego?

Is now the best time to list a home for sale in San Diego? I think YES.
This morning, only 3,433 properties are available as active in San Diego county. If you think this number is good, sufficient, or even a lot, you are mistaken. According to the Census Bureau, there are close to 600,000 detached homes in San Diego county. This means that just over 0.5% of the homes in San Diego  county are for sale.
Based on demand, months of inventory, and month over month price increases, we should be seeing a greater price increase than what the market is currently showing. We also can handle over double the current inventory that currently exists, given the current interest rates, and low prices.

What this mean to buyers? It is tough out there, this is definitely a sellers market, and multiple offers are being reported on properties within a week. If you are on the hunt, then you must act fast, be aggressive, and have your Realtor contacting every listing agent for as much info as you can get before being disappointed by the overwhelming offers they may have.

What this means to sellers, or owners considering to sell? We are seeing properties sell in less time, and for a higher price than sometimes even anticipated. Buyers are becoming understanding that you will most likely have more than one offer, and that their offer needs to be the best ( Terms, price, etc. ). Banks are more open to dealing with short sales, and approval times for some institutions have dropped to 2 months or less in some instances. January is coming near, and I think 2013 will show an increase of inventory, and possible begin to see leveling prices at the end of the year (2013).

Find out what your home is worth, and what you can expect today. Contact me.



Cell: 619-788-8354 

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

San Diego Market Stats - End of October

Below are a few graphs courtesy of SDAR. The first which I think may be most important when looking at 2013 is the Active, Contingent & Pending Listings. As you can see, the inventory of residential properties available in San Diego is declining, which should keep the fire burning in San Diego for at least the first quarter of 2013. I expect prices to still creep up in January as result. 

    The Drop in September's Sales may have been due to August's spike. Many lenders, Escrow, and Realtors more than likely trying to get transactions closed before months end. Then re-acclimating in October, to show similar results as July.

The median sales price has been on the incline as inventory has been on the decline. Simple supply and demand.






Cell: 619-788-8354 

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

September snap shot for San Diego


It appears I was correct in my last entry. Septembers numbers are lower for properties sold.
I think the most important stat below is the "TOTAL SOLD LISTINGS Comparing September 2012 to August 2012". Septembers Closed properties is over 16% less than Augusts numbers. 
Even though we are entering the lull of the year as the holiday season ramps up. Interest rates are still dropping, and I suspect things will pick back up in October, and then again when we enter the new year. 


MEDIAN SALES PRICE Comparing September 2012 to August 2012 (previous month)

 Single-Family:  3.3% INCREASE
September 2012 = $405,000 August 2012 = $392,250

 Condos/Townhomes = UNCHANGED
September 2012 = $240,000 August 2012 = $240,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE Comparing September 2012 to September 2011 (previous year)

 Single-Family:  12.5% INCREASE
September 2012 = $405,000 September 2011 = $360,000Page 2 of 2

 Condos/Townhomes:  14.3% INCREASE
September 2012 = $240,000 September 2011 = $210,000

TOTAL SOLD LISTINGS Comparing September 2012 to August 2012 (previous month)

 Single-Family: 16.1% DECREASE
September 2012 = 1,888 August 2012 = 2,250

 Condos/Townhomes: 18.5% DECREASE
September 2012 = 829 August 2012 = 1,017

TOTAL SOLD LISTINGS Comparing September 2012 to September 2011 (previous year)

 Single-family: 9.6% INCREASE
September 2012 = 1,888 September 2011 = 1,722

 Condos/Townhomes: 4.4% INCREASE
September 2012 = 829 September 2011 = 794


Cell: 619-788-8354 

Tuesday, October 2, 2012

MLS Searches this morning.

This month again, we are slipping lower in inventory of both single family and attached real estate for sale in San Diego.
I ran a quick search this morning for only Single family homes in San Diego that are listed as Active. The results were 3,825 detached homes available this morning. What may be even more surprising is that pending properties, currently in escrow, are showing a total of 3,347. Not far from the amount that are active. As for short sales waiting approval with accepted offer, 2,588 existed.
Sold detached homes between Sept. 1 and Sept. 30th are shown as 1,785 total. ( which appears to be down from August)



Cell: 619-788-8354 

Monday, September 24, 2012

Tuesday, September 4, 2012

August Numbers - Inventory Alert!


Asking Prices and Inventory for Homes in San Diego.

As of September 03 2012 there were about 10,004 single family and condo homes listed for sale in San Diego California. The median asking price of these homes was approximately $389,000. Since this time last year, the inventory of homes for sale has decreased by 33.7% and the median price has increased by 2.6%.

September 03, 2012Month/MonthYear/Year
Median Asking Price$389,0000.0%+2.6%
Home Listings/Inventory10,004-4.1%-33.7%

San Diego Asking Price and Inventory History

DateSingle Family & Condo
Inventory
25th Percentile
Asking Price
Median
Asking Price
75th Percentile
Asking Price
September 201210,004$249,900$389,000$699,900
August 201210,376$249,925$389,350$711,000
July 201210,673$247,680$385,395$701,400




Cell: 619-788-8354 

Tuesday, August 21, 2012

San Diego Market Statistics

Below is a San Diego sales and price release from SDAR.
In short, Sales have decreased over 5% in July compared to June. However, July 2012 sales were over 16% higher than July 2011 for Single-family homes.
The average home price has increased over 4% from June to July, for condos and Townhoumes.
Where as we also saw over 1% increase in median sales price of Single-family homes in that same time.

The reason sales have dropped is mostly relative to the lack of inventory in San Diego.

San Diego Association Of Realtors, end of July market statistics for San Diego



Asking Prices and Inventory for Homes in San Diego 

California

As of August 20 2012 there were about 10,337 single family and condo homes listed for sale in San Diego California. The median asking price of these homes was approximately $389,000. Since this time last year, the inventory of homes for sale has decreased by 33.1% and the median price has increased by 2.6%.


San Diego Asking Price and Inventory History

DateSingle Family & Condo
Inventory
25th Percentile
Asking Price
Median
Asking Price
75th Percentile
Asking Price
August 201210,379$249,900$389,167$711,667
July 201210,673$247,680$385,395$701,400
June 201210,978$244,500$378,250$692,498
May 201211,251$239,944$370,875$674,250
April 201211,586$237,180$359,580$647,699
March 201211,949$233,725$336,250$617,250
February 201212,071$230,450$349,950$601,750
January 201212,149$231,257$350,000$598,180
December 201112,892$234,750$355,750$613,450
November 201113,772$239,225$360,858$621,975
October 201114,563$239,940$366,798$627,760
September 201114,975$244,000$375,975$644,473
August 201115,524$249,358$379,590$649,683

Information provided by : http://www.deptofnumbers.com/asking-prices/california/san-diego/

Sunday, July 29, 2012

My perspective of San Diego distressed properties.

Short Sales are still prominent in the market and will be for some time. However financial institutions are becoming more affluent to liquidating those assets in a timely manner. Bank directed short sales are becoming more prominent. Some banks are are taking the route of pre-approving a property for a short sale, then providing the file to an a Realtor to consult the distressed homeowners, and listing the property for sale. This expedites the process immensely and in most cases shortens the approval time from the traditional short sale. Short Sale vs foreclosure, Costs/shadow inventory. My opinion is that banks will be forced to assume short sale approvals vs foreclosures in order to avoid adding to the already overwhelming shadow inventory. I think properties will be approved much quicker and more frequently to assure buyers that they are obtainable, and obtainable in a realistic time frame. This will also lower the losses incurred by the banks, as the foreclosure period is lengthy and ultimately cost far more than short selling a property that already has a buyer in place. Bank assessing assets for shadow REO listings to start easing the weight. I have heard that many financial institutions are beginning to asses their current inventory, given the condition of the market and speculation of the next 6-12 months. We are seeing an increase in demand and sales price, while inventory is still low in San Diego and more buyers are coming into the picture. This could mean that some banks may start releasing assets that have sat on the books and are seasoned. With both the bank directed short sales and the assessments on current shadow inventory, the financial institutions may be starting to change the tides.
Cell: 619-788-8354 

Wednesday, July 4, 2012



Notice of Defaults, and Trustee sale properties going to sale are both down once again. The county is receiving nearly 9% more canceled sales than that of the previous month. As well as nearly 6% decrease of properties sold to third parties from May to June. This is also backed by a drop in Trustee deeds recorded. 


I look at this data, combined with the " shadow inventory " the banks are holding, and wonder what the next step will be in the San Diego real estate market.

Inventory numbers are at a staggering low, turning the tables more so for sellers than for buyers. Where is a property in Serra Mesa posted sold at 350k and similar property is now listed for 380k. I am not saying the market has jumped 9% in the last six months, but the amount of buyers in the market with interest rates still dipping lower. The lack of inventory throughout the county, and the lack of properties purchased by investors at trustee sale, create a wary scenario.

The financial institutions, I believe, will need to begin releasing more residential properties by force of hand. However, with this being an election year I do not see that occurring until January of 2013. I also think that they see the increase in the markets demand, and once they begin listing more homes for sale, those prices will be considerably higher.  
  
Cell: 619-788-8354 
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Wednesday, June 27, 2012

San Diego Real Estate Insight, Current and YTD.

The San Diego Real Estate market has been a little crazy this year. 7,478 single family attached, and detached sold in the first quarter of 2012. The sold properties are slightly higher than the previous year
first quarter results of 6,997. Looking at a month over month of 2012; May posted 3,282 sold, April 3,091 sold, March 2,915 sold, February 2,445 sold, and January 2,118. As you can see the number of residential properties sold from January to May has risen over 36%.

Also affecting this upward trend, is the lack of inventory in San Diego. The San Diego residential real estate inventory is at a staggering low of 3.5 months. That means that is no new properties are listed on the market, we would exhaust the number of houses available for purchase in less than 4 months. This number is significantly lower than any month in the last two years in San Diego.

An added bonus is the opportunity to lock in a low interest rate, and get pre-approved for a loan to purchase. With current interest rates for a 30-year fixed mortgage at an all time low, below 3.75%, reviewing a loan scenario has become more opportunistic than ever.

What does this mean to first time buyers, sellers that are on the fence, residential investors, and you.
For a first time buyer this shows signs of the San Diego market turning. Why look back and say, " should have, could have, would have, don't have ". Low interest rate means affordability, at a 3.5% down
FHA mortgage, VA mortgage, the opportunity is here.

For sellers, the lack of inventory is creating multiple offers on properties every day, prices are being driven slightly, and moving up or even downsizing is very entertaining today.

As for the residential investor looking for long term investments and multifamily. I ask most, "Have you looked at rental rates compared to total out of pocket expenses, on a new loan lately?". Refinancing a owned multi-family or single family home, and purchasing another, is more favorable now than ever before.


For you, this could mean opportunity. Don't let the time pass, don't end up looking back and say...."What if". 

Pete D'Amato
REALTOR
®

CNE® (Certified Negotiation Expert)
Keller Williams Realty
3965 Fifth Ave. Ste 300. SD, CA. 92103

Direct: 619-929-0874
Cell: 619-788-8354 
Email: Pete@DamatoRealEstate.com
Web: www.DamatoRealEstate.com

DRE LIC #01879316

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