Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Some Changes in San Diego Real Estate

       More and more recent conversations with real estate investors and past clients, has left a unwary engraving in my speculations on the current and future real estate market in San Diego.
More real estate investors today that I have spoken to are using phrases like " we used to buy at X and now we are forced to buy at Y ". They are not talking about decades or back during the bubble, buy they are talking about the last year or two. Where as X was $200,000 and now Y is $250,000, for example.  Or where a past client if given an evaluation of a purchase that was made last year, and says " Wow, really ". This seems to be more common.

Prices have risen in San Diego over 10% in the last 12 months.
Take a look at the chart below. This is a snap shot of the San Diego County MLS. This is for December 2011, Compared to December 2012.

Year-on-year Statistics

 Dec-12Dec-11% Chg
# Sold3,1393,0343.5%
# For Sale (Last Day of Month)7,57015,246-50.3%
Median Price (Sold)$362,000$301,25020.2%
Median Price (For Sale)$370,000$329,90012.2%
Price per Sq Ft$255$22214.9%
Sold Price to Original Price95%90%4.8%
Average DOM79102-22.5%
Months Supply2.45.0-52.0%

The important notes to take is that there was 1/2 the inventory of homes available last month, than the year before in the same month.
You may notice that sold price to list price increased by about 5%, however the list price of homes also increased over 10%.

The Simple Law of Supply and Demand.



Cell: 619-788-8354 

Wednesday, January 9, 2013

December Finally 2012 - Start of a New Year

As you can see below, the inventory in San Diego is still declining. 
As we begin 2013 I believe inventory will continue to decline, yet hopefully stabilize and even increase towards the second half of the second quarter. I don't see home prices acting any differently, as they have increased over the last year, and should continue to increase county wide for most of 2013.


                                     January 07, 2013       Month/Month        Year/Year
  Median Asking Price           $389,000                 +1.0%         +11.1%
  Home Listings/Inventory         7,241                    -11.8%        -40.0%



Cell: 619-788-8354